To My Son, At The Dawn Of The Third Millennium
(Sinoué Gilbert)
The Greenhouse Effect and its Consequences The term "greenhouse effect" presents an analogy between the earth and greenhouses, the enclosed buildings often seen along roadsides, whose glass or clear-plastic walls let the sun's rays filter in, trap the heat, and produce a favourable, if artificaially created, micro-climate for the plants inside. Unlike a greenhouse, our planet does not have a transparent shield to hold the heat in, but there is a similar process at work. The earth absorbs about half of the energy it receives from the sun, and it is this energy that keeps the planet heated. For the energy to be effective, it cannot be allowed to escape; thus, some sort of covering is necessary. Nature, ever innovative, provides just such a covering, a protective layer of water and gas. This shield helps ensure the the earth's temperature remains at a level that is conducive to life (about 15 degrees Celsius on average). Without this shield, humans would all have to live like Eskimos, in average temperatures of -18 degrees Celsius. Prior to industrialization, the earth's temperature was perfectly balanced. But then gasses resulting from humans' industrial activities began accumulating along the natural protective layer. The result: more heat became trapped under the thicker "greenhouse" shield. And as industrial activity increased, so did the temperature. Industrialization With industrialization, pollutant gasses have fused with so-called "natural" gasses. There are six kinds of these gasses, including carbon dioxide, produced by the burning of petrol and carbon, and methane, resulting from modern agricultural activities. Paradoxically, industrialized countries produce 64% of greenhouse gas emissions, though they make up only 20% of the world's population. Scientific research clearly shows that the levels of these gasses is significantly increasing -- carbon dioxide by more than 30%, and methane by more than 145%. Furthermore, huge quantities of methane are locked within polar ice-caps. As they melt, these ice-caps will release the methane, considerably furthering global warming. In the next century, temperatures could increase at a rate 50 times faster than in the last 10,000 years. We are truly walking an environmental tightrope. Devastating consequences Man's disruption of nature's balance has unleashed devastating consequences such as floods, changes in rain levels, frequent droughts, hurricanes, storms, tornadoes, and earthquakes. The number of such natural disasters has increased four-fold in the last 50 years. In 1999 there was a significant increase in the number of earthquakes compared with previous years. Coincidence? Certainly not. According to U.S. Geological Survey, the venerable American organization responsible for monitoring seismic phenomenna, the number of earthquakes has doubled compared to previous years. Coastal Areas Because of glacial melting, which will cause sea-levels to rise, many coastal regions will simply disappear. Some tropical isalnds in the Pacific and the Caribbean have an altitude of no more than 3 meters, and they will be largely submerged. The Maldives will be among the first to suffer this fate, as will the coralline archipelagos. Since a large portion of the world's population lives near the coast, there will be a large-scale population shift inland, many coastal metropolises having been submerged. The Consequences of Pollution Some people are still skeptical about the effects of pollution on global warming. Every year, people throw out 12 billion tonnes of industrial waste -- an average of 2 tonnes per person. The waste produced by the United States alone would fill a line of ten-tonne trucks stretching around the planet 20 times. Some people claim that more than half of these billions of tonnes of garbage is absorbed and processed by the oceans, the forests, and the earth. But what about rest? The other half? The earth is not a giant with an enormous stomach built to digest billions of tonnes of rotting waste. And what about the radioactive waste, some of which can remain hazardous for 75,000 years? For the most part, we send it away. Rich countries pack boats full of radioactive waste and send them off to third-world countries. Before it became illegal, rich countries would use the ocean as a giant garbage-can for nuclear waste. They dumped tens of thousands of barrels of radioactive waste into the Atlantic Ocean, the Pacific Ocean, and the Barents Sea. Those barrels will not last forever. What, then, will happen when the radioactive waste eventually leaks out? The Response from those in Power The response from those in power is always the same. They stammer, they equivocate, they sermonize, but they never practice what they preach! All of the summits are the same. Everyone wants to decide but nothing is ever decided. Take the Kyoto Protocol. It could have become a defining historical agreement, if only it had gotten off the ground. The international community, as though regretting having attempted such an audacious plan, proved incapable of putting it into practice. And so it goes! (Sources: Sinoué, Gilbert. À mon fils, à l?aube du troisième millénaire. [Paris]: Gallimard, 2000, 149 pp.)
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